Tourism and the Global Vectoring of Antimicrobial-Resistant Disease: What Countries Are Most Impacted?

Background: Tourists returning home and visitors from abroad often carry antimicrobial-resistant (AMR) bacteria. Many of these resistant bacteria are acquired from, or were spread via, the environment (especially water). Understanding the impact from acquiring resistant bacteria via tourism upon global antimicrobial resistance is limited. Methods: Traveller transmission of AMR bacteria can be estimated from combining the numbers of travellers with AMR bacteria rates in different regions and the prevalence of communicable diseases. We used resistance data (WHO and contemporary publications) to measure the prevalence of E.coli resistance to third-generation cephalosporins. The study uses data from 2019, the year with the most complete dataset that also predates disruptions to travel caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. We then used the global burden of disease study and travel data from the World Travel and Tourism to create regional and country level indices measuring the impact of AMR bacteria for 241 countries. Estimates of global travel patterns were obtained using a gravity-style trip distribution model. Findings: Regions with the highest impact of AMR bacteria from returning travellers were Northern Europe and Western Europe. The region with the highest impact of AMR bacteria from visiting travellers was the Caribbean where small island countries receive large numbers of visitors. For countries/administrative regions with populations greater than 5 million, the AMR bacterial travel impacts measured in decreasing risk order from the highest were Hong Kong, Denmark, New Zealand, Hungary, Norway and Sweden. Interpretation: For some countries the incidence of AMR infection among both visitors and returning travellers is much higher than in the domestic population. This impact and how these bacteria are acquired from the environment, must be factored into public health policies for containing global spread of AMR bacteria and as part of a One Health approach.