Are Putative Beta-Lactamases Posing a Potential Future Threat?

Antimicrobial resistance is a growing global health threat, with beta-lactamases playing a central role in resistance to beta-lactam antibiotics. Building on our previous survey of 2340 putative beta-lactamases, we conducted an in-depth analysis of 129 prioritized candidates (70-98.5% amino acid identity to characterized enzymes) detected in 102 bacterial genera across 13 phylogenetic classes from environmental, animal, and human sources worldwide.

We applied a motif-centric assessment of class-defining catalytic residues, evaluated the genomic context using a heuristic Index of Proximal Mobility (IPM) derived from the two immediately adjacent open reading frames, and examined the phylogenetic placement. AI-based substrate predictions were generated at a restricted scope as exploratory evidence.

Candidates spanned all Ambler classes (A-D); preservation of catalytic motifs was common and consistent with potential catalytic activity. Twelve of 129 (9.3%) loci had nearby mobile-element types (e.g., insertion sequences, integrases, transposases) and scored High IPM, indicating genomic contexts compatible with horizontal gene transfer. We also observed near-identical class A enzymes across multiple genera and continents, frequently adjacent to mobilization proteins.

We propose a reproducible, bias-aware, early warning framework that prioritizes candidates based on motif integrity and mobility context. The framework complements existing surveillance (GLASS/EARS-Net) and aligns with a One Health approach integrating human, animal, and environmental reservoirs. Identity thresholds and IPM are used for inclusion and contextual prioritization, rather than as proof of function or mobility; AI-based predictions serve as hypothesis-generating tools. Experimental studies will be essential to confirm enzymatic activity, mobility, and clinical relevance.