High-Resolution Wastewater-Based Surveillance of Three Influenza Seasons (2022-2025) Reveals Distinct Seasonal

Jessica Neusser1,2, Astrid Zierer2, Anna Riedl2

  • 1Institute of Infectious Diseases and Tropical Medicine, LMU University Hospital, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität (LMU) München, 80802 Munich, Germany.

Microorganisms
|November 27, 2025
PubMed

Insights

Wastewater surveillance effectively tracks influenza A and B virus trends, correlating strongly with reported cases. This method offers early detection of seasonal onset and reveals underreporting in public health surveillance systems.

Area of Science:

  • Environmental microbiology
  • Public health surveillance
  • Virology

Background:

  • Influenza causes annual epidemics in the Northern Hemisphere.
  • Wastewater-based surveillance (WBS) offers a promising tool for monitoring infectious diseases.
  • Understanding community transmission requires robust surveillance methods.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To compare centralized and decentralized WBS for influenza detection.
  • To investigate influenza A virus (IAV) and influenza B virus (IBV) transmission dynamics.
  • To assess WBS for early detection and underreporting of influenza.

Main Methods:

  • Collected 313 wastewater samples from Munich over three influenza seasons (2022/23-2024/25).
  • Analyzed samples using digital droplet PCR (ddPCR) for IAV and IBV nucleic acids.
  • Compared wastewater data with citywide reported influenza cases.

Main Results:

  • Strong correlations observed between wastewater viral copy numbers and reported influenza cases for both sampling methods.
  • Decentralized sampling (sewers) showed higher viral loads than centralized (WWTP), likely due to decay.
  • Revealed a reporting delay for influenza A cases in the 2023/24 season.
  • Identified unique seasonal patterns, including IAV and IBV co-circulation in 2024/25.

Conclusions:

  • Wastewater-based surveillance is a reliable indicator of citywide influenza infection trends.
  • WBS enables early detection of seasonal influenza onset and local transmission patterns.
  • WBS can identify underreporting in traditional public health surveillance systems.