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Machine learning in geriatric care: a scoping review of models using multidimensional assessment data.
Angela Mari Mangio1, Caitlin Miller1, Lakshmi Jayan1
1Centre for Health Services Research, Faculty of Health, Medicine & Behavioural Sciences, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia.
Machine learning (ML) models show promise for predicting health outcomes in older adults using geriatric assessment data. However, limitations in validation and reporting need addressing for real-world clinical use.
Area of Science:
- Geriatric Medicine
- Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare
- Data Science
Background:
- Geriatric assessments gather comprehensive data on older adults' physical, cognitive, psychological, and social health.
- Machine learning (ML) offers potential for improved clinical decision-making in aged care using this multidimensional data.
- A systematic synthesis of ML applications in geriatric assessment data is lacking.
Purpose of the Study:
- To systematically review and describe the data types, purposes, and performance of ML models applied to multidimensional geriatric assessment data.
- To identify common ML algorithms and their effectiveness in predicting health outcomes for older adults.
Main Methods:
- A scoping review was conducted following established frameworks (Arksey and O'Malley, PRISMA-ScR).
- Searched six databases for peer-reviewed studies from 2012-2024 on ML applied to geriatric assessment data.
- Assessed methodological quality using the PROBAST + AI tool.
Main Results:
- Forty studies were included, primarily from high-income countries, focusing on outcomes like falls, functional decline, frailty, mortality, and hospital readmission.
- XGBoost was the top-performing algorithm in several studies, but performance metrics varied widely.
- Common limitations included small sample sizes, lack of external validation, poor calibration, and data imbalance.
Conclusions:
- ML models utilizing geriatric assessment data demonstrate potential for predicting health outcomes in older adults.
- Methodological and reporting limitations currently hinder the clinical translation of these ML models.
- Future research must prioritize external validation, interpretability, and integration into clinical workflows for robust and ethical application in aged care.
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