Robustness of randomized controlled trial evidence for SGLT2 inhibitors in heart failure with preserved and mildly

Marco Zuin1, Pierluigi Temporelli2, Claudio Bilato3

  • 1Department of Translational Medicine, University of Ferrara, Ferrara, Italy; Department of Cardio-Thoraco-Vascular Sciences and Public Health, University of Padova, Padua, Italy; Department of Cardiology, Madre Teresa di Calcutta Hospital, AULSS 6, South Padova Hospitals, Schiavonia, Italy.

PubMed

Insights

Sodium-glucose co-transporter 2 inhibitors consistently reduce heart failure hospitalizations in patients with preserved or mildly reduced ejection fraction. However, the robustness of their mortality benefits in these heart failure subtypes remains uncertain.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Pharmacology
  • Clinical Trials

Background:

  • Sodium-glucose co-transporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) demonstrate cardiovascular benefits but their impact on heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) and mildly reduced ejection fraction (HFmrEF) requires further investigation.
  • Absolute benefits and statistical robustness of SGLT2i in HFpEF and HFmrEF are modest.
  • This study assesses the consistency and robustness of SGLT2i outcomes in HFpEF and HFmrEF using fragility metrics.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate the robustness and consistency of cardiovascular outcomes associated with SGLT2 inhibitors in patients with HFpEF and HFmrEF.
  • To assess the statistical significance and fragility of SGLT2i effects on heart failure hospitalization and cardiovascular death.

Main Methods:

  • Systematic search of MEDLINE and Web of Science for Phase 3-4 randomized, placebo-controlled trials of SGLT2 inhibitors in HFpEF or HFmrEF (ejection fraction ≥ 40%).
  • Outcomes assessed using absolute risk reduction (ARR), relative risk reduction (RRR), number needed to treat (NNT), Fragility Index (FI), and Reverse Fragility Index (RFI).
  • Dichotomous outcomes were pooled using a random-effects model.

Main Results:

  • Two trials (EMPEROR-Preserved, DELIVER) analyzed; SGLT2i significantly reduced combined HF hospitalization and CV death risk (HR 0.79, 0.82; FI 37, 41; NNT 30, 32).
  • Reduction in HF hospitalization alone was robust (FI 37, 46).
  • Effects on CV and all-cause mortality were modest and fragile (FI/RFI ≤10; NNT ≥100); benefits were most robust in women and those with impaired renal function.

Conclusions:

  • SGLT2 inhibitors consistently reduce HF hospitalization in HFpEF and HFmrEF.
  • The robustness of mortality benefits associated with SGLT2 inhibitors in these patient groups remains uncertain.
  • Consistent HF hospitalization benefits were observed across subgroups including sex, BMI, diabetes status, and renal function.
Abstract

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