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Perioperative Artificial Intelligence Driven Integrated Modeling of Surgeries using Anesthetic, Physical and
Sabyasachi Bandyopadhyay1, Jiaqing Zhang2, Ronald L Ison2
1Stanford University.
Research Square
|December 3, 2025
Summary
Preoperative cognitive status, assessed via clock drawing tests, significantly predicts surgical outcomes like hospital stay and mortality. Clock size emerged as a key cognitive predictor of adverse events.
Area of Science:
- Neurosurgery
- Medical Informatics
- Geriatric Medicine
Background:
- Preoperative cognitive status is crucial for surgical outcomes but remains under-researched.
- Clock drawing tests offer a practical method for assessing cognitive function.
- Deep learning can extract detailed features from clock drawings.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the predictive power of preoperative cognitive status on surgical outcomes.
- To determine if cognitive assessment surpasses traditional risk factors in predicting outcomes.
- To identify specific cognitive and intraoperative features associated with adverse surgical events.
Main Methods:
- Utilized clock drawing tests with a deep learning algorithm to extract 10 constructional features.
- Trained machine learning models with 5-fold cross-validation to predict postoperative outcomes.
- Employed Shapley Additive Explanations for feature interpretability.
Main Results:
- The perioperative cognitive dataset was the best predictor for 12 of 18 surgery-outcome pairs.
- Surgery duration and anesthetic concentration were significant predictors of adverse outcomes.
- Low average blood pressure, high blood pressure variability, and clock size predicted adverse outcomes.
Conclusions:
- Preoperative cognitive status, particularly assessed through clock drawing features like size, is a valuable predictor of surgical outcomes.
- Integrating cognitive assessment into perioperative modeling can enhance risk prediction and healthcare strategies.
- Intraoperative variables like surgery duration and blood pressure management remain critical for patient safety.
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