Machine learning model for detecting masked hypertension in young adults

Brendyn Miller1, Samuel J Coeyman2, Annemarie Wentzel3,4

  • 1Institute for Regenerative Medicine, Wake Forest University, Winston-Salem, NC, United States.

Frontiers in Physiology
|December 3, 2025
PubMed

Insights

Machine learning models can predict masked hypertension (MHT) using clinical data, improving early detection. This approach aids in managing cardiovascular disease risks, especially in resource-limited settings.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Medical Informatics
  • Biostatistics

Background:

  • Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is a leading cause of death globally, with hypertension (HT) contributing significantly.
  • Masked hypertension (MHT), normal BP in clinic but high out-of-clinic, increases CVD risk and is often undiagnosed.
  • Current diagnostic tools like ABPM and HBPM have accessibility and feasibility limitations.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop and validate machine learning (ML) models for predicting MHT using single-visit clinical data.
  • To address the diagnostic challenges of MHT, particularly in resource-constrained environments.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized data from the African-PREDICT study, including clinical, biomarker, body composition, and physical activity metrics from a young South African cohort.
  • Employed ML models, including LASSO feature selection and extreme gradient boosting, for MHT prediction.
  • Evaluated model performance using accuracy and ROC AUC scores.

Main Results:

  • An ML model combining LASSO feature selection and extreme gradient boosting achieved 0.83 accuracy and 0.86 ROC AUC.
  • The model primarily relied on four key features: systolic blood pressure, body weight, left ventricular mass at systole, and dehydroepiandrosterone sulfate levels.
  • This predictive framework demonstrates potential for early MHT identification, reducing reliance on resource-intensive monitoring.

Conclusions:

  • ML-based prediction of MHT offers a feasible approach for early detection and intervention.
  • This strategy can help mitigate MHT progression and associated cardiovascular risks, particularly in underserved regions.
  • Integrating computational techniques into clinical practice is crucial for addressing global health challenges like hypertension.
Abstract

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