A combined machine learning and finite element modelling tool for the surgical planning of craniosynostosis

Itxasne Antúnez Sáenz1,2, Ane Alberdi Aramendi2, David Dunaway1,3

  • 1Great Ormond Street Institute of Child Health, London, United Kingdom.

Plos One
|December 5, 2025
PubMed

Insights

This study introduces a new machine learning tool to predict surgical outcomes for babies with sagittal craniosynostosis, using 3D photos instead of CT scans for safer, real-time planning.

Area of Science:

  • Pediatric Neurosurgery
  • Medical Imaging
  • Machine Learning in Healthcare

Background:

  • Craniosynostosis, early fusion of cranial sutures, impacts infant head growth.
  • Surgical treatments like spring assisted cranioplasty (SAC) have improved but outcomes remain unpredictable.
  • Current planning relies on surgeon experience and age, lacking precise predictive tools.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop a real-time prediction tool for surgical outcomes in sagittal craniosynostosis (SC).
  • To eliminate the need for CT scans in preoperative planning, reducing radiation exposure.
  • To create a tool that aids in determining optimal osteotomy location and spring selection.

Main Methods:

  • Personalized synthetic skulls generated from 3D photographs.
  • Incorporation of population average data for suture location, skull thickness, and soft tissue properties.
  • A machine learning surrogate model, specifically a multi-output support vector regressor, was employed.

Main Results:

  • The developed ML model achieved a R² metric of 0.95.
  • Mean Squared Error (MSE) and Mean Absolute Error (MAE) were below 0.13.
  • The model demonstrates high accuracy in predicting surgical outcomes.

Conclusions:

  • The novel approach offers a non-invasive, real-time tool for preoperative planning in SC surgery.
  • This method reduces reliance on CT scans, minimizing radiation exposure for infants.
  • Future applications include simulating surgical scenarios and optimizing parameters for improved cranial index.