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Related Experiment Video

Updated: Jan 9, 2026

Noninvasive Sampling of Mucosal Lining Fluid for the Quantification of In Vivo Upper Airway Immune-mediator Levels
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Predicting allergy and postpartum depression from an incomplete compositional microbiome.

Andrey Shternshis1,2, Bangzhuo Tong3,4, Alkistis Skalkidou5

  • 1Department of Information Technology, Uppsala University, Box 337, Uppsala, 75105, Sweden. andrey.shternshis@it.uu.se.

BMC Genomics
|December 6, 2025
PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

This study introduces a new method to handle missing data in biological time series, improving predictions for infant food allergies and postpartum depression using gut microbiome data.

Keywords:
Compositional dataForecastingGut microbiomeImputationLog-transformation

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Area of Science:

  • Microbiology
  • Bioinformatics
  • Computational Biology

Background:

  • High-throughput biological studies often generate time series compositional data.
  • Missing data points in these time series can significantly reduce dataset completeness and impact analysis.
  • Accurate prediction of health outcomes from biological data is crucial.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop and evaluate a novel method for binary classification of compositional time series data with missing values.
  • To improve prediction accuracy for health-related outcomes using longitudinal microbiome data.
  • To identify key microbial features indicative of specific health conditions.

Main Methods:

  • Proposed a method combining imputation for missing values, dimensionality reduction, and logarithmic transformation of compositional data.
  • Utilized artificial data alongside true measurements for imputation to supplement datasets.
  • Applied the method to two case studies involving gut microbiome time series data.

Main Results:

  • Successfully predicted infants' food allergies from gut microbiome data with 0.72 balanced accuracy.
  • Forecasted postpartum depression from pregnancy gut microbiome data with 0.62 balanced accuracy.
  • Identified ratios of bacterial abundance in microbiome time series as statistically significant indicators of depression.

Conclusions:

  • The proposed method effectively handles missing data in compositional time series for improved predictive modeling.
  • Gut microbiome composition over time is a valuable predictor for infant food allergies and postpartum depression.
  • Microbiome-derived features offer statistically significant insights into depression.