Time-updated FIB-4 index predicts coronary artery calcification progression in individuals with metabolic

Yesung Lee1, Woncheol Lee2

  • 1Department of Occupational and Environmental Medicine, Medical Support Division, Pyeongchang County Public Health Clinic, Seoul, Gangwon-do, Korea.

Scientific Reports
|December 6, 2025
PubMed

Insights

The Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index may predict coronary artery calcification progression in individuals with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD). This association is stronger in men over 40, suggesting FIB-4 reflects subclinical cardiovascular risk.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Hepatology
  • Radiology

Background:

  • Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is a prevalent chronic liver condition linked to increased cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk.
  • Liver fibrosis, not steatosis, is the key prognostic factor in MASLD.
  • The Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index is a noninvasive measure of liver fibrosis, but its predictive value for subclinical atherosclerosis is not well-established.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the association between time-updated FIB-4 index and coronary artery calcification (CAC) progression.
  • To determine if FIB-4 can predict subclinical atherosclerosis in asymptomatic adults with MASLD.

Main Methods:

  • Analysis of a large cohort (60,445 participants) of asymptomatic Korean adults with repeated coronary CT and liver ultrasonography from 2012-2023.
  • CAC progression defined as incident CAC or significant increase in existing CAC.
  • Time-dependent Cox regression models used to assess the association between FIB-4 and CAC progression.

Main Results:

  • Elevated FIB-4 was significantly associated with increased risk of CAC progression in MASLD patients, independent of traditional CVD risk factors.
  • The association was more pronounced in men and individuals aged 40 years and older.
  • Time-updated FIB-4 showed a modest association with subclinical atherosclerosis progression.

Conclusions:

  • The time-updated FIB-4 index is modestly associated with subclinical atherosclerosis progression in MASLD patients, particularly men aged 40+.
  • FIB-4 may serve as an accessible marker for subclinical cardiovascular risk in this population.
  • Further research is needed to validate FIB-4 as a risk stratification tool for cardiovascular events.