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Time-updated FIB-4 index predicts coronary artery calcification progression in individuals with metabolic
1Department of Occupational and Environmental Medicine, Medical Support Division, Pyeongchang County Public Health Clinic, Seoul, Gangwon-do, Korea.
Insights
The Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index may predict coronary artery calcification progression in individuals with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD). This association is stronger in men over 40, suggesting FIB-4 reflects subclinical cardiovascular risk.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Hepatology
- Radiology
Background:
- Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is a prevalent chronic liver condition linked to increased cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk.
- Liver fibrosis, not steatosis, is the key prognostic factor in MASLD.
- The Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index is a noninvasive measure of liver fibrosis, but its predictive value for subclinical atherosclerosis is not well-established.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between time-updated FIB-4 index and coronary artery calcification (CAC) progression.
- To determine if FIB-4 can predict subclinical atherosclerosis in asymptomatic adults with MASLD.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of a large cohort (60,445 participants) of asymptomatic Korean adults with repeated coronary CT and liver ultrasonography from 2012-2023.
- CAC progression defined as incident CAC or significant increase in existing CAC.
- Time-dependent Cox regression models used to assess the association between FIB-4 and CAC progression.
Main Results:
- Elevated FIB-4 was significantly associated with increased risk of CAC progression in MASLD patients, independent of traditional CVD risk factors.
- The association was more pronounced in men and individuals aged 40 years and older.
- Time-updated FIB-4 showed a modest association with subclinical atherosclerosis progression.
Conclusions:
- The time-updated FIB-4 index is modestly associated with subclinical atherosclerosis progression in MASLD patients, particularly men aged 40+.
- FIB-4 may serve as an accessible marker for subclinical cardiovascular risk in this population.
- Further research is needed to validate FIB-4 as a risk stratification tool for cardiovascular events.
Abstract:
Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is the most common chronic liver disorder worldwide and is increasingly recognized as a multisystem disease that elevates cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk. Liver fibrosis, rather than steatosis itself, is considered the primary determinant of prognosis in MASLD. The Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index, a simple noninvasive fibrosis score, has been linked to adverse hepatic outcomes, but its value for predicting subclinical atherosclerosis remains unclear. We investigated whether time-updated FIB-4 predicts coronary artery calcification (CAC) progression in a large cohort of asymptomatic Korean adults. A total of 60,445 participants who underwent repeated coronary computed tomography and liver ultrasonography during health examinations between 2012 and 2023 were included. CAC progression, defined as incident CAC (Agatston score ≥ 1) or a significant increase in existing CAC, was assessed using time-dependent Cox regression models. Elevated FIB-4 was significantly associated with higher risk of CAC progression among participants with MASLD, independent of established CVD risk factors. In stratified analyses, the association was stronger in men and in individuals older than 40 years. These findings indicate that the time-updated FIB-4 index shows a modest association with subclinical atherosclerosis progression, primarily among men aged ≥ 40 years with MASLD, and may serve as an accessible marker reflecting subclinical cardiovascular risk rather than a validated predictor of risk stratification improvement.
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