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Integration of multi-scale radiomics and deep learning for Ki-67 prediction in clear cell renal carcinoma
Jinshuai Li1,2, Dingyang Lv1,2, Zhiwei Guo1,2
1Department of Urology, First Hospital of Shanxi Medical University, No. 85 Jiefang South Road, Yingze District, Taiyuan, Shanxi, 030001, China.
Abstract:
High Ki-67 expression in clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC) predicts poor prognosis but requires postoperative assessment. In a multicenter retrospective study of 627 ccRCC patients, we developed and validated a multi-modal model, integrating multi-scale radiomics and deep learning (DL) features, for non-invasive, preoperative Ki-67 prediction. Using ensemble machine learning algorithms, unimodal models were constructed from preoperative CT-derived multi-scale radiomics (intratumoral, habitat, peritumoral), 2D/3D DL, and clinical features. A stacking strategy was used to fuse the best-performing unimodal models. The fusion model demonstrated superior performance, achieving an Area Under the Curve (AUC) of 0.756 (95% CI 0.692-0.821) in the external test set. The model demonstrated excellent calibration and the highest clinical net benefit, with habitat radiomics identified as the dominant predictive component via SHAP analysis. Our validated multi-modal model significantly improves the preoperative prediction of Ki-67 expression compared to unimodal approaches, offering a promising tool to guide individualized surgical and surveillance strategies.
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