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Watershed Planning within a Quantitative Scenario Analysis Framework
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Climate Adaptation Framework for Advancing Community Stormwater Management.

Ling-Wen Lu1,2,3, Matthew F Johnson4, Fang-Fang Zhu5

  • 1State Key Laboratory of Regional and Urban Ecology, Institute of Urban Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Xiamen 361021, China.

Environmental Science & Technology
|December 8, 2025
PubMed
Summary

Nature-based Solutions (NbS) optimize stormwater management for climate change adaptation. Cost-effective NbS schemes improve runoff reduction and nitrogen removal, offering better financial returns than high-investment alternatives.

Keywords:
climate change adaptationmultiobjective optimizationnature-based solutionsnitrogen export controlsustainable development goals

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Area of Science:

  • Environmental Engineering
  • Urban Planning
  • Climate Change Adaptation

Background:

  • Urban stormwater runoff poses significant environmental challenges, exacerbated by aging infrastructure and climate change.
  • Nature-based Solutions (NbS) offer sustainable stormwater management with societal co-benefits.
  • Quantitative assessment of NbS financial trade-offs and optimal configurations is limited.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop a framework for optimizing NbS spatial configurations.
  • To achieve legislative targets for nitrogen concentration and runoff reduction under future climate change.
  • To analyze the financial trade-offs and cost-effectiveness of different NbS schemes.

Main Methods:

  • A multiobjective optimization framework was developed.
  • Case study conducted in Ningbo, China, considering future climate scenarios.
  • Cost-benefit analysis performed over a 15-year period.

Main Results:

  • Runoff reduction and nitrogen removal decreased by ~6% across climate scenarios.
  • Eight cost-effective NbS schemes were identified through optimization.
  • NbS schemes improved runoff reduction (0.86-13.9%) and nitrogen removal (0.08-8.45%) compared to alternatives.
  • Low-cost NbS yielded higher benefit-to-cost ratios than high-investment schemes.

Conclusions:

  • The developed framework effectively optimizes NbS configurations for climate change adaptation.
  • NbS optimization can achieve environmental targets while considering financial viability.
  • Tailoring NbS strategies to community income levels and preferences is crucial for maximizing benefits.