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Temporal social network modeling of mobile connectivity data with graph neural networks
Joel Jaskari1, Chandreyee Roy1, Fumiko Ogushi2
1Department of Computer Science, Aalto University, Aalto, Finland.
Plos One
|December 10, 2025
Summary
Graph neural networks (GNNs) show promise for analyzing temporal social networks using mobile data. The ROLAND GNN model outperformed a baseline, but further research is needed for specialized architectures.
Area of Science:
- Complex networks analysis
- Machine learning applications
- Social network modeling
Background:
- Graph neural networks (GNNs) excel at modeling complex network connectivity.
- Temporal social network analysis using mobile connectivity data is underexplored.
- Predicting user activity in mobile networks is crucial for understanding social dynamics.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate snapshot-based temporal GNNs for predicting mobile communication activity.
- To compare GNN performance against a non-GNN baseline (EdgeBank).
- To assess the potential of GNNs in temporal social network analysis.
Main Methods:
- Investigated four snapshot-based temporal GNN models.
- Developed a non-GNN baseline using the EdgeBank method.
- Analyzed phone call and SMS activity data from a mobile network.
Main Results:
- The ROLAND temporal GNN model demonstrated superior performance over the baseline in most scenarios.
- Three other temporal GNN models performed worse than the baseline on average.
- GNN-based approaches show potential for temporal social network analysis.
Conclusions:
- GNNs hold promise for analyzing temporal social networks via mobile connectivity data.
- The ROLAND GNN is a promising architecture, outperforming the baseline.
- Further research into specialized GNN architectures is necessary due to small performance margins.
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