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Clinical Olsen Grading Does Not Reflect Basal Growth in Actinic Keratoses: Two-Center Retrospective Analysis
Lutz Schmitz1,2, Conrad Falkenberg1,3, Julius Balkenhol1,3
1CentroDerm, Heinz-Fangman-Straße 57, 42287 Wuppertal, Germany.
Cancers
|December 11, 2025
Summary
Clinical Olsen grading does not reliably predict basal proliferation in actinic keratosis (AK). However, pain in AK lesions correlates with higher-grade basal proliferation and acantholysis, suggesting potential progression markers.
Area of Science:
- Dermatology
- Oncology
- Histopathology
Background:
- Actinic keratosis (AK) is a precancerous lesion with unpredictable progression to cutaneous cancer.
- Histological basal proliferation patterns may indicate AK progression risk but are not clinically assessable.
- Current clinical markers for AK progression require further validation against histological features.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the correlation between clinical Olsen grading and pain with histological basal proliferation (PRO) in AK.
- To assess the association of clinical markers with other histological aspects of AK, including upward-directed growth and acantholysis.
- To determine the predictive value of clinical assessments for AK histological characteristics.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of 380 clinically diagnosed AKs across two centers.
- AKs were assessed using the clinical Olsen classification (I-III) and palpation for pain.
- Histological evaluation included basal (PRO I-III) and upward-directed (AK I-III) growth patterns, and acantholysis.
Main Results:
- Olsen grading showed a weak correlation with histological PRO classification (Spearman's rho = 0.136, p = 0.008).
- Pain upon palpation was significantly associated with higher PRO grades (p = 0.005) and the presence of acantholysis (p = 0.023).
- No significant association was found between pain and Olsen grades or upward-directed growth patterns.
Conclusions:
- Olsen grading is not a reliable clinical predictor of basal proliferation patterns in actinic keratosis.
- While Olsen grading may imply progression relevance, this study found no substantiated link to histological transformation indicators.
- Pain in AK lesions is a significant clinical indicator correlating with high-grade basal proliferation and acantholysis, suggesting its potential as a marker for lesion aggressiveness.

