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Prediction of HIV-1 Coreceptor Usage Tropism by Sequence Analysis using a Genotypic Approach
Published on: December 1, 2011
Descriptor-First Approach for ADMET Prediction in the PolarisHub Antiviral Challenge
Vladimir Chupakhin1, John DiBella1
1Simulations Plus, Inc., 800 Park Offices Drive, Suite 401, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina 27709, United States.
None:
The prediction of absorption, distribution, metabolism, excretion, and toxicity (ADMET) properties remains a central bottleneck in small-molecule discovery. We present the third-place solution from the PolarisHub Antiviral Competition, covering five end points broadly relevant to small-molecule design: human and mouse liver microsomal stability (HLM, MLM), MDR1-MDCKII permeability, kinetic solubility, and lipophilicity (LogD). Rather than pursuing complex machine learning architectures, we adopted a descriptor-first strategy. We systematically curated descriptors and models from ADMET Predictor as meta-features and then applied high-capacity tabular learners. A pretrained foundation model for tabular data (TabPFN), used in single-task regression, consistently outperformed or matched a strong gradient boosting baseline (CatBoost), yielding up to 44% mean absolute error (MAE) reduction across end points while simplifying deployment by eliminating an extensive hyperparameter search and producing compact models. Additionally, we engineered two feature sets that delivered modest gains in randomized cross-validation runs: (i) tuned fragment representations and (ii) site-of-metabolism pattern features. Overall, we used four groups of features: mechanistic, physicochemical, fragment, and metabolic. These results indicate that in practical ADMET modeling scenarios, where rich, validated descriptors are available, the competitive advantages often arise from principled feature engineering combined with robust, rather than overly complex, modeling approaches.
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