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A Measurement Gap? Effect of Survey Instrument and Scoring on the Partisan Knowledge Gap
Lucas Shen1, Gaurav Sood2, Daniel Weitzel3
1Senior Scientist, Institute for Human Development and Potential, Agency for Science, Technology and Research, Singapore, Singapore.
Partisan gaps in U.S. political knowledge are inflated by motivated guessing, not knowledgeable partisans deliberately choosing wrong answers. Adjusting survey methods reveals smaller, more accurate knowledge differences.
Area of Science:
- Political Science
- Survey Methodology
- Psychology
Background:
- Partisan gaps in political knowledge are significant in the U.S.
- Commercial surveys may overestimate these gaps due to survey design.
- Motivated guessing versus knowledgeable "cheerleading" are debated explanations.
Purpose of the Study:
- To differentiate between confidently held beliefs and motivated guessing in partisan knowledge gaps.
- To assess the impact of survey features on the measurement of political knowledge.
- To determine the true extent of partisan differences in political knowledge.
Main Methods:
- Conducted experiments manipulating knowledge item features in commercial surveys.
- Compared partisan knowledge gaps using standard versus modified survey scales.
- Analyzed data to identify sources of upward bias in reported knowledge.
Main Results:
- Survey items with guessing-encouraging features inflate partisan knowledge gaps.
- Removing these features reduced partisan gaps by approximately 40%.
- Motivated guessing by less knowledgeable partisans, not "cheerleading," explains the bias.
Conclusions:
- Commercial survey data likely overestimate partisan differences in political knowledge.
- Survey design significantly impacts the measurement of political knowledge and partisan divides.
- A substantial portion of reported partisan knowledge gaps stems from methodological artifacts.
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