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Risk-Based vs Annual Breast Cancer Screening: The WISDOM Randomized Clinical Trial
Laura J Esserman1, Allison S Fiscalini1, Arash Naeim2
1University of California, San Francisco.
JAMA
|December 12, 2025
Summary
Risk-based breast cancer screening stratified women by genetic risk and screening intensity. While safe, this approach did not decrease biopsy rates compared to annual mammography.
Area of Science:
- Oncology
- Genetics
- Preventive Medicine
Background:
- Individual breast cancer risk assessment can optimize screening strategies.
- Current screening methods may not efficiently allocate resources to high-risk individuals.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the feasibility of risk-based breast cancer screening as an alternative to annual mammography.
- To determine if risk stratification improves screening outcomes.
Main Methods:
- A pragmatic, multicenter randomized clinical trial compared risk-based screening with annual mammography in women aged 40-74.
- Risk assessment involved genetic sequencing, polygenic risk scores, and a validated risk model.
- Screening recommendations varied based on calculated 5-year risk and genetic factors.
Main Results:
- Risk-based screening was noninferior for detecting stage ≥IIB cancers but did not reduce biopsy rates compared to annual screening.
- Fewer mammograms were performed in the risk-based group, yet biopsy rates were not significantly lower.
- Cancer incidence, biopsy, mammogram, and MRI rates increased with higher risk categories.
Conclusions:
- Risk-based breast cancer screening, incorporating genetic testing, effectively stratified risk and screening intensity.
- This approach did not lead to a reduction in biopsy rates.
- Further research may be needed to optimize risk-based screening protocols to reduce unnecessary biopsies.
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