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Predicting skeletal age from HR-pQCT imaging.

Annabel R Bugbird1, Steven K Boyd2

  • 1McCaig Institute for Bone and Joint Health, Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary AB, Canada; Department of Biomedical Engineering, Schulich School of Engineering, University of Calgary, Calgary AB, Canada.

Bone
|December 14, 2025
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Summary

A new deep learning model estimates skeletal age using high-resolution peripheral quantitative computed tomography (HR-pQCT) scans. This interpretable AI tool offers a simplified bone health assessment, aiding in early detection of aging-related bone changes.

Keywords:
Bone health assessmentDeep learningHigh resolution peripheral quantitative computed tomographyOsteoporosisSkeletal age

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Area of Science:

  • Biomedical Imaging
  • Artificial Intelligence in Medicine
  • Bone Biology

Background:

  • High-resolution peripheral quantitative computed tomography (HR-pQCT) offers detailed bone microarchitecture insights but faces interpretability challenges.
  • The complexity of HR-pQCT data hinders clinical application and patient understanding of bone health status.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop and validate a deep learning model for estimating skeletal age from HR-pQCT scans.
  • To provide an interpretable and quantitative measure of bone health relative to chronological age.

Main Methods:

  • Trained deep learning models on HR-pQCT scans from a normative cohort (n=1236) and tested on an independent cohort (n=460).
  • Evaluated 2D, 3D, and combined models using distal radius and tibia scans.
  • Utilized saliency maps to interpret model reliance on specific bone features.

Main Results:

  • The combined 2D model (2DRadTib) demonstrated strong performance with a test Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 5.34 years (R²=0.85).
  • Saliency maps indicated that cortical bone features were crucial for younger individuals, while both cortical and trabecular features were important for older individuals.
  • Predicted skeletal age strongly correlated with established HR-pQCT parameters, particularly cortical and density measures (ρ = -0.51 to 0.85).

Conclusions:

  • A novel deep learning framework accurately predicts skeletal age from HR-pQCT.
  • This approach enhances the clinical utility of HR-pQCT by providing an interpretable bone health summary.
  • The model facilitates early identification of accelerated skeletal aging and may improve patient comprehension of bone status.