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Flips reveal the universal impact of memory on random explorations
J Brémont1,2, L Régnier2,3, A Barbier-Chebbah4,5
1Laboratoire de Physique Théorique de la Matière Condensée, CNRS, UPMC, Paris, France.
Nature Communications
|December 16, 2025
Summary
We introduce a new metric, the flip probability, to quantify space exploration in random walks. This metric universally captures the impact of memory effects, regardless of walker dynamics, and follows a simple power law.
Area of Science:
- Physics
- Mathematics
- Complex Systems
Background:
- Random walk theory is crucial for understanding phenomena like diffusion and foraging.
- Existing models often assume memoryless (Markovian) dynamics, which are unrealistic for many real-world systems.
- Real-world systems frequently exhibit memory effects, making analysis of space exploration challenging.
Purpose of the Study:
- To introduce a novel metric, the 'flip probability,' for quantifying space exploration in random walks.
- To demonstrate the universal applicability of this metric across different walker dynamics, including memory-dependent ones.
- To analyze the impact of memory on exploration and identify its underlying mechanisms.
Main Methods:
- Definition of the 'flip' event in a one-dimensional random walk.
- Theoretical analysis of the flip probability for both Markovian and non-Markovian walkers.
- Computational simulations of non-Markovian models.
- Analysis of experimental datasets.
Main Results:
- The flip probability universally obeys the law πn ∝ 1/n, irrespective of the walker's dynamics (memoryless or not).
- This universality highlights the significant and consistent impact of memory on exploration.
- The mechanism behind this universality was identified and extended to higher dimensions and fractal domains.
Conclusions:
- The flip probability provides a universal measure for space exploration, effectively quantifying the impact of memory.
- This finding offers a new tool for analyzing complex systems with history-dependent dynamics.
- The universality of the flip probability simplifies the study of exploration across diverse scientific fields.
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