Arrhythmia risk predictions from molecular simulations of cardiac ion channel-drug interactions

Kyle C Rouen1, Kush Narang1, Yanxiao Han2

  • 1Department of Physiology and Membrane Biology, University of California, Davis, Davis, California.

Biophysical Journal
|December 18, 2025
PubMed

Insights

Drug interactions with cardiac ion channels like hERG can cause deadly arrhythmia. This study used computational modeling and machine learning to predict drug binding affinities and assess arrhythmia risk, aiding safer drug development.

Area of Science:

  • Computational chemistry
  • Pharmacology
  • Cardiovascular research

Background:

  • Unintended blockade of cardiac ion channels, especially hERG (KV11.1), is a major safety concern in drug development, potentially causing fatal arrhythmias.
  • Assessing the proarrhythmic risk of drug candidates requires understanding their interactions with key cardiac ion channels.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate drug interactions with hERG (KV11.1), NaV1.5, and CaV1.2 channels in different functional states.
  • To develop and validate a computational method for predicting drug binding affinities and assessing arrhythmia risk.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized Rosetta structural modeling to create models of cardiac ion channels in open and inactivated states based on cryo-EM structures.
  • Employed site identification by ligand competitive saturation (SILCS), a physics-based docking method, to predict drug binding affinities.
  • Applied Bayesian machine learning to refine SILCS scoring using experimental data and to classify drug arrhythmia risk.

Main Results:

  • The SILCS method, refined with machine learning, outperformed other docking tools in predicting drug binding affinities for hERG.
  • Computed binding affinities for hERG and CaV1.2 channels were used to train models that successfully classified ~300 drugs.
  • SILCS fragment free energy scores of cationic nitrogens were identified as key predictors of drug-induced torsades de pointes arrhythmia risk.

Conclusions:

  • The developed computational approach accurately predicts drug binding to cardiac ion channels and assesses arrhythmia risk.
  • This method, relying on predicted binding free energies and physical properties, offers a promising strategy for early-stage drug design to mitigate proarrhythmic potential.

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