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Association of the ROX index with mortality in sepsis patients: a retrospective study
Jiali Wu1, Jing Zhao1, Xiaojing Ji2
1Department of Emergency, General Hospital of Ningxia Medical University, Yinchuan, China.
Background:
This study aims to explore the association between the ROX index and clinical outcomes in patients with sepsis.
Methods:
Data were extracted from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV) database, including adult sepsis patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU). The primary outcome was 28-day mortality, while secondary outcomes included 7-day and 14-day mortality, ICU mortality, ICU length of stay (LOS), and hospital LOS. Restricted cubic spline models and Cox regression models were used to assess the associations between the ROX Index and clinical outcomes.
Results:
A total of 23,502 sepsis patients were included, who were stratified into high (ROX ≥ 6.46) and low ROX (ROX < 6.46) strata using a data-derived threshold survival analysis. In the unadjusted model, the high ROX stratum exhibited a significantly lower risk of 28-day mortality (HR = 0.33, 95% CI: 0.31-0.35, P < 0.001), with consistent findings after adjustment for age, sex, and SOFA score respectively. Similar trends were observed for ICU, 7-day, and 14-day mortality. Restricted cubic spline analysis revealed a nonlinear "L"-shaped association, with the 28-day mortality risk decreasing until reaching a plateau at a ROX index of approximately 10.50. Additionally, the shortest ICU and hospital LOS were observed at ROX thresholds of 9.56 (4.87 days) and 9.29 (12.05 days), respectively. The ROX index showed a moderate predictive accuracy for 28-day mortality (AUC = 0.63, 95% CI: 0.62-0.64), outperforming the SOFA score (AUC = 0.59, 95% CI: 0.58-0.60). Subgroup analyses confirmed consistent associations across demographic and clinical subgroups (overall HR = 0.33, 95% CI: 0.31-0.35), with significant interaction effects observed in gender, patients with septic shock, heart failure, diabetes, chronic lung disease, and those not receiving non-invasive ventilation (all P < 0.05).
Conclusion:
In patients with sepsis, a higher ROX index is associated with significantly lower mortality rates and shorter ICU and hospital stays. However, the ROX index demonstrated moderate predictive accuracy.
Insights
A higher ROX index in sepsis patients is linked to reduced mortality and shorter hospital stays. This index shows moderate predictive accuracy for 28-day mortality, outperforming the SOFA score.
Area of Science:
- Critical Care Medicine
- Respiratory Physiology
- Sepsis Research
Background:
- Sepsis poses a significant global health challenge, necessitating improved prognostic tools.
- The ROX index, a measure of respiratory function, has potential utility in assessing sepsis severity.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between the ROX index and clinical outcomes in sepsis patients.
- To evaluate the predictive accuracy of the ROX index for mortality and length of stay.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of 23,502 sepsis patients from the MIMIC-IV database.
- Utilized restricted cubic spline and Cox regression models to assess ROX index associations.
- Compared ROX index predictive performance against the SOFA score for 28-day mortality.
Main Results:
- Higher ROX index strata were significantly associated with lower 28-day, 7-day, and 14-day mortality.
- An "L"-shaped association was observed, with mortality risk plateauing around a ROX index of 10.50.
- Optimal ROX index thresholds were identified for shortest ICU and hospital length of stay, and the ROX index demonstrated moderate predictive accuracy (AUC=0.63).
Conclusions:
- The ROX index is a valuable tool for predicting outcomes in sepsis patients.
- Higher ROX index values correlate with improved survival and shorter hospitalizations.
- The ROX index offers a potentially superior alternative to the SOFA score for sepsis outcome prediction.
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