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Condition-Guided Diffusion for Multi-Modal Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction Incorporating Intention and Interaction
IEEE Transactions on Pattern Analysis and Machine Intelligence
|December 18, 2025
Summary
This study introduces a novel Prior Condition-Guided Diffusion Model (CGD-TraP) for pedestrian trajectory prediction. The model enhances accuracy and diversity by guiding noise estimation with intention and interaction features, improving control over generated samples.
Area of Science:
- Computer Vision
- Artificial Intelligence
- Robotics
Background:
- Pedestrian behavior is inherently multi-modal, requiring trajectory predictions that are both accurate and diverse for complex scenarios.
- Traditional diffusion models struggle with unguided noise addition, leading to inefficient sampling and lack of control.
- Existing methods often fail to capture the nuanced interplay of internal intentions and external interactions in pedestrian movement.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop a novel diffusion model for multi-modal pedestrian trajectory prediction that addresses the limitations of conventional methods.
- To enhance the accuracy, diversity, and controllability of pedestrian trajectory predictions.
- To improve the efficiency of the diffusion process for trajectory generation.
Main Methods:
- Propose a Prior Condition-Guided Diffusion Model (CGD-TraP) that guides noise estimation using internal intention and external interaction features.
- Design specialized modules for extracting and aggregating intention and interaction features.
- Employ adaptive spatial-temporal fusion based on selective state space for controllable noisy trajectory distribution estimation.
Main Results:
- CGD-TraP demonstrates superior performance compared to state-of-the-art diffusion-based and generative methods on ETH-UCY, SDD, and NBA datasets.
- The proposed method achieves significant improvements in prediction accuracy and sample diversity.
- Experiments confirm the enhanced efficiency and controllability of the CGD-TraP model.
Conclusions:
- The Prior Condition-Guided Diffusion Model (CGD-TraP) offers a more effective approach to multi-modal pedestrian trajectory prediction.
- Guiding the noise estimation process with intention and interaction features leads to more accurate, diverse, and controllable predictions.
- CGD-TraP represents a significant advancement in generative models for understanding and predicting complex human behaviors in dynamic environments.

