Prediction model for medication adherence using a medication event monitoring system in recurrent major depressive

Pan Lin1, Chunting Hou, Jinjie Ji

  • 1Department of Psychiatry, Affiliated Nanjing Brain Hospital, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu Province, China.

Behavioural Pharmacology
|December 19, 2025
PubMed

Insights

Low adherence to antidepressants is common in major depressive disorder (MDD) patients. Factors like exacerbations, incorrect drug levels, and side effects increase nonadherence risk, while older age improves it.

Area of Science:

  • Psychiatry
  • Pharmacology
  • Clinical Medicine

Background:

  • Recurrent major depressive disorder (MDD) requires long-term management.
  • Nonadherence to antidepressant medication is a significant challenge in maintaining treatment efficacy.
  • Identifying risk factors for nonadherence is crucial for improving patient outcomes.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate risk factors for nonadherence to antidepressant drugs in patients with recurrent MDD.
  • To develop a predictive model for identifying patients at high risk of nonadherence.

Main Methods:

  • Prospective enrollment of 847 patients undergoing maintenance treatment for recurrent MDD.
  • Tracking adherence over 30 days using the medication event monitoring system one year post-discharge.
  • Statistical analysis to identify risk factors, including exacerbations, drug concentrations, depression severity, side effects, age, and the Drug Attitude Inventory-10.

Main Results:

  • Low adherence was observed in 30.7% of patients.
  • Increased risk of nonadherence was associated with >3 exacerbations (OR 2.040), suboptimal drug concentrations (OR 2.096-2.361), increasing depression severity (OR 4.644-5.347), and side effects (OR 3.993-10.965).
  • Older age and higher Drug Attitude Inventory-10 scores predicted better adherence.

Conclusions:

  • A predictive model identified patients at high risk (prognostic index ≥0.800) for nonadherence.
  • Early identification allows for targeted interventions to improve antidepressant adherence in recurrent MDD.
  • Physicians can use this model to proactively manage patient adherence and optimize treatment outcomes.

Related Concept Videos