Prospective association between the gut microbiota and incident pneumonia: a cohort study of 6419 individuals

Irina Wikki1,2, Joonatan Palmu3, Anni Kauko3,4

  • 1Department of Internal Medicine, University of Turku, P.O. Box 52, Turku, FI-20521, Finland. irina.wikki@varha.fi.

Respiratory Research
|December 22, 2025
PubMed
Abstract

Insights

The composition of gut bacteria, particularly butyrate-producing species, is linked to a reduced risk of pneumonia. Further research into microbiome modulation could offer new prevention strategies for this common infection.

Area of Science:

  • Microbiome research
  • Infectious disease epidemiology
  • Gut-lung axis

Background:

  • Animal studies suggest gut microbiota protects against respiratory infections.
  • The association between human gut microbiota and pneumonia risk is not well understood.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the relationship between gut microbiota composition and the incidence of pneumonia in a large population sample.
  • To identify specific microbial taxa or functional pathways associated with pneumonia risk.

Main Methods:

  • Shotgun metagenome sequencing of stool samples from 6419 participants.
  • Longitudinal follow-up for pneumonia incidence using nationwide health registers.
  • Statistical analysis using Cox regression and PERMANOVA to assess microbiome-disease associations.

Main Results:

  • Microbiome composition, not alpha diversity, was associated with pneumonia risk.
  • Higher abundance of butyrate-producing bacteria correlated with lower pneumonia incidence (HR 0.91; 95% CI 0.85-0.98).
  • Specific bacteria like Bacteroides pectinophilus and Clostridium innocuum showed inverse and positive associations with pneumonia risk, respectively.

Conclusions:

  • Gut microbiota composition, particularly butyrate-producing bacteria, is associated with reduced pneumonia risk.
  • Findings suggest potential for microbiome-targeted interventions (diet, prebiotics, probiotics) to lower pneumonia incidence.

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