Temporal Changes in Access to Transplantation Among Pediatric Registrants

Access to liver transplantation (LT) for pediatric registrants is complex and impacted by many factors. Assessing the state of pediatric LT requires understanding the balance between policy, the availability of livers, and the quantity of pediatric patients requiring LT.

Using Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients data with Cox regression (to compare rates) and competing risk regression (to compare cumulative incidence), we evaluated pediatric patient characteristics, number of registrants transplanted, and waitlist mortality from (January 1, 2017-February 4, 2020) to (May 1, 2020-June 4, 2023) using the implementation of acuity circles to divide the eras.

In 4314 pediatric LT registrants, transplantation rate increased in the post-policy era, compared with the pre-policy era (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 1.05 1.12 1.20 ; P  < 0.001). When accounting for competing risks, the increase was attenuated and not statistically significant (adjusted subdistribution HR, 0.99 1.06 1.14 ; P  = 0.08); recipients were no more likely to die on the waitlist (adjusted subdistribution HR, 0.78 1.01 1.30 ; P  = 0.99). Importantly, the prevalent pediatric waitlist dropped from 396 (2017) to 225 (2023), the rate of deceased donor LT from pediatric donors increased (weighted HR, 1.20 1.31 1.42 ; P  < 0.001), and access to living donor LT increased, compared with the pre-policy era (weighted HR, 1.11 1.33 1.59 ; P  = 0.002). The transplant rate for pediatric patients did not decrease during the study period despite the introduction of acuity circles. During the study period, the prevalent waitlist shrank, access to LT from pediatric donors increased, and access to living donor LT increased.

Comprehensive assessment following the policy change is necessary to ensure that pediatric candidates maintain priority. Changes in pediatric transplantation are modest and likely related to changes in the pool, rather than to the policy of acuity circles.