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Assessing cetacean encounter risk in offshore racing
Auriane Virgili1, Sébastien Fournier2, Olivier Le Maître3
1Share The Ocean, Larmor-Baden, 56870, France. auriane@sharetheocean.earth.
Scientific Reports
|December 30, 2025
Summary
Large whale and vessel collisions pose significant risks. A new model estimates encounters, suggesting rerouting vessels from high-density areas can reduce these dangerous interactions.
Area of Science:
- Marine biology
- Conservation science
- Vessel traffic analysis
Background:
- Large cetaceans face anthropogenic threats, with vessel collisions causing significant mortality.
- Collisions between offshore racing vessels and large whales result in severe consequences for both species and vessels.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop an encounter model for large cetaceans and offshore racing vessels.
- To estimate the number of potential encounters along established racing routes.
- To assess the effectiveness of vessel rerouting to mitigate collisions.
Main Methods:
- Developed a predictive model incorporating cetacean and vessel characteristics.
- Applied the model to three common offshore racing routes (Newport-Skagen, Dover-Gibraltar, Gibraltar-Genoa).
- Simulated the impact of rerouting vessels away from cetacean exclusion zones.
Main Results:
- Estimated encounters: 1.7 (Route 1), 4.1 (Route 2), 2.6 (Route 3).
- Vessel rerouting demonstrated a significant potential to reduce cetacean-vessel encounters.
- The model provides a tool for assessing and mitigating collision risks.
Conclusions:
- The developed encounter model is crucial for understanding and reducing whale-vessel collisions.
- Strategic rerouting of vessels is a viable solution for mitigating anthropogenic impacts on large cetaceans.
- Further development of collision reduction methods is essential globally.

