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Updated: Jan 13, 2026

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Behavior-induced oscillations in epidemic outbreaks with distributed memory: Beyond the linear chain trick using

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Behavior adaptation to infectious disease information can create sustained infection waves. This study models how memory of past cases influences epidemic dynamics, even without other factors like seasonality.

Keywords:
MatContbehavioral epidemiologyincidence-based social distancinginfectious disease modellinear chain trickperiodic solutionspseudospectral approximationstability

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Area of Science:

  • Epidemiology
  • Mathematical Biology
  • Infectious Disease Modeling

Background:

  • Infectious disease outbreaks are influenced by individual behavior.
  • Understanding how information about new cases affects behavior is crucial for epidemic control.
  • Previous models often simplify behavioral responses to disease information.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop and analyze a mathematical model of infectious disease dynamics incorporating behavioral adaptation based on past case information.
  • To investigate the long-term dynamics and stability of epidemics driven by information-dependent behavior.
  • To explore the impact of memory kernel characteristics on epidemic wave patterns.

Main Methods:

  • Mathematical modeling of infectious disease spread with behavioral feedback.
  • Analysis of model equilibria and stability using analytical techniques.
  • Numerical simulation of long-term dynamics using pseudospectral approximation of delay equations.
  • Investigation of gamma-distributed memory kernels with non-integer shape parameters.

Main Results:

  • Behavioral adaptation alone can generate sustained epidemic waves, independent of demographic factors or seasonality.
  • The shape of the memory kernel significantly influences the period and peak of infection waves.
  • The level of minimal contact affects the stability of behavior-induced equilibria.
  • Pseudospectral methods allowed analysis beyond traditional modeling limitations.

Conclusions:

  • Individual behavior adaptation in response to disease information is a potent driver of epidemic persistence.
  • The characteristics of memory (how past information is retained and weighted) are critical determinants of epidemic wave dynamics.
  • The model provides a more general framework for understanding behavior-driven epidemics and their control.