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Machine learning-based multimodal biomarkers enable accurate diagnosis and early detection of pancreatic ductal
Tsung-Hung Yao1, Warapen Treekitkarnmongkol2, Nagireddy Putluri3
1Department of Biostatistics, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX, 77030, USA. tyao@mdanderson.org.
Abstract:
While there has been some progress on discovering clinically validated biomarkers for early detection in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC), several challenges remain. Most approaches rely on single-modality biomarkers with limited sensitivity and/or specificity. Using data from a multicenter study with an age-matched cohort (n = 203 with healthy controls n = 46, pancreatitis controls n = 36, and diagnosed cases n = 121), we developed a machine learning approach integrating 2,096 microRNAs, 125 metabolites, and CA19-9. Our method performs unsupervised selection of an optimal subset of biomarkers with maximal discriminatory power for diagnosis and early detection. In training data, the selected biomarker panel achieved [Formula: see text] area under the curve (AUC) and [Formula: see text] sensitivity when controlling specificity at [Formula: see text]. The classification results under the selected multimodal panel generalize well for validation samples. The panel outperforms recently proposed microRNA-based approaches and identifies key biomarkers (such as aminobutyric acid and homovanillic acid) with high classification importance. Decision tree–based cut-offs are derived to enhance clinical interpretability, revealing the association between the low aminobutyric acid level and non-cancer status. These results highlight the superior discriminative ability and interpretability of the proposed multimodal biomarker panel, offering a promising tool for PDAC diagnosis and early detection.

