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Establishing a Competing Risk Regression Nomogram Model for Survival Data
Published on: October 23, 2020
Development of a Prognostic Nomogram in Epithelial Ovarian Cancer Based on KELIM: A Retrospective Study at TuDu
Hoang T Pham1, Tuan M Vo1, Le N N Phan2
1Medicine Faculty, University of Medicine and Pharmacology at Ho Chi Minh City, Ho Chi Minh City 7000, Vietnam.
Abstract:
Background/Objectives: Epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC) constitutes the predominant form of ovarian malignancies. The primary goal of this study was to determine predictors of patient survival and construct a nomogram for survival prediction in individuals diagnosed with epithelial ovarian cancer. Methods: A retrospective cohort analysis was performed, including 418 patients who received treatment for epithelial ovarian cancer at Tu Du Hospital from January 2015 to December 2019. The median follow-up time was 77.1 months (range: 5.7-121.6 months). Survival analyses were conducted using the log-rank test and Cox proportional hazard regression analysis. A nomogram was developed, incorporating KELIM and other statistically significant variables. Results: The median follow-up time was 77.1 months. The observed cumulative mortality rates were 1.4% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.7-3.2), 10.4% (95% CI: 7.8-13.8), and 16.5% (95% CI: 13.2-20.6) at 1, 3, and 5 years, respectively. Factors demonstrating a significant correlation with survival included KELIM < 1 (HR = 1.78 [95% CI: 1.16-2.72]), pre-treatment CA-125 levels ≥ 35 U/mL (HR = 2.47 [95% CI: 1.10-5.55]), FIGO stages III-IV (HR = 2.40 [95% CI: 1.36-4.21]), and the presence of residual tumor tissue following surgical intervention (HR = 3.14 [95% CI: 1.75-5.65]). Conclusions: Prognosis is significantly influenced by KELIM, pre-treatment CA-125, tumor stage, and residual tumor post-surgery. The nomogram developed here offers a tool to assist in personalized prognostic assessments of Vietnamese EOC patients.
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