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Polymer Melt Stability Monitoring in Injection Moulding Using LSTM-Based Time-Series Models.

Pedro Costa1, Sílvio Priem Mendes1,2, Paulo Loureiro1,2

  • 1School of Technology and Management, Polytechnic University of Leiria, 2411-901 Leiria, Portugal.

Polymers
|January 10, 2026
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Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

This study introduces a data-driven framework using Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) models for early polymer melt instability detection in injection moulding. The system identifies process drift before defects emerge, enabling proactive adjustments and reducing scrap.

Keywords:
LSTMdata-driven solutiondefect predictioninjection mouldingreal production data

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Area of Science:

  • Materials Science
  • Manufacturing Engineering
  • Data Science

Background:

  • Polymer melt instability in injection moulding often evolves gradually, making conventional monitoring methods insufficient for early detection.
  • Existing threshold-based systems struggle to capture subtle transitions, leading to quality degradation and increased scrap rates.
  • Real-time monitoring of process parameters is crucial for maintaining stability and product quality in thermoplastic manufacturing.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop a data-driven framework for the early detection of polymer melt instability in industrial injection moulding.
  • To leverage Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) time-series models for identifying gradual drift conditions preceding quality issues.
  • To enable proactive process adjustments and reduce scrap by detecting instability minutes before defects manifest.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized six months of continuous production data (approx. 280,000 cycles) from a thermoplastic injection line.
  • Applied Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) time-series models to analyze temporal patterns in torque, pressure, temperature, and rheology data.
  • Implemented a physically informed labelling strategy using volatile zones preceding non-conforming parts for supervised learning with sparse defect annotations.

Main Results:

  • The framework successfully modeled temporal patterns to identify drift conditions indicative of melt instability.
  • A physically informed labelling strategy enabled effective supervised learning, detecting instability windows minutes before actual defects occurred.
  • The system demonstrated the capability to recognize instability using standard machine signals without additional sensors.

Conclusions:

  • Data-driven temporal deep-learning models, specifically LSTM, offer a powerful approach for enhancing real-time monitoring in injection moulding.
  • The proposed framework facilitates proactive process adjustments, leading to improved stability and reduced scrap.
  • This methodology contributes to more robust and adaptive manufacturing operations through advanced instability detection.