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Street vitality and traffic risk: a multiscale analysis of Barcelona and Warsaw
Anastasiia Galaktionova1, Aura-Luciana Istrate1, Tiago Tamagusko2
1School of Architecture, Planning and Environmental Policy, University College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland.
Abstract:
This study examines the relationship between street vitality and traffic crash risk in Barcelona and Warsaw using street-level spatial regression models and group-based temporal clustering. Street vitality, operationalised as functional density and computer-vision-derived streetscape safety scores, shows a positive association with crash frequency across the street network in both cities, supporting the hypothesis that lively streets increase exposure and possibilities for conflict. However, street vitality explains only part of this risk dynamic: street length remains the strongest predictor overall, while building density produces mixed effects. In hotspot models, street vitality effects weaken substantially; functional density becomes insignificant, and visual safety effects diminish, suggesting that once crash concentrations form, risk is shaped more by localised design and behavioural factors than by land-use intensity. These findings underscore the importance of combining system-wide and site-specific perspectives in street safety planning, highlighting the need for design interventions that reconcile lively public spaces with traffic safety.
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