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Updated: Jan 15, 2026

Watershed Planning within a Quantitative Scenario Analysis Framework
Published on: July 24, 2016
An adaptive framework for symbiotic environmental fragility and geohazards risk: A case study of Gaizhou City, China
Xuedong Wang1, Xinyao Wang1, Yuanjie Hou1
1College of Mining, Liaoning Technical University, Zhonghua Road 47, Fuxin 123000, China.
Abstract:
The ecological environment is an important context for geohazards formation. Traditional geohazards risk assessment mostly focuses on the physical characteristics and pays insufficient attention to long-term impact on the ecological environment. This paper considers environmental fragility from a 'current-sensitive-responsive' perspective, comparing the entropy power, projection pursuit, and random forest methods to identify the optimal model. It also proposes a 3D matrix to establish an adaptive framework for geohazards ecological risk, tailored to scenarios of frequent geohazards in environmental fragile mountainous regions. The results were validated using Gaizhou City: Random forest achieves better zoning performance and accuracy, making it the optimal model for environmental fragility. The area classified as very high risk zoning is only 28.35 km² using 3D matrix, with a high geohazard areal density of 0.35 point/km². With less than 0.3 % of the total area, it accommodates 10.6 % of the region's geohazard inventory, fully demonstrating its effectiveness. The townships of Kuangdonggou and Shizijie were key control units, and it was recommended that a combination of engineering and ecological measures be prioritized. The improvement method may provide a new perspective on the synergistic management of the ecological environment and geohazards.
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