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A Three-Dimensional Spheroid Model to Investigate the Tumor-Stromal Interaction in Hepatocellular Carcinoma
Published on: September 30, 2021
Age, comorbidity burden, and mortality risk in hospitalized patients with hepatocellular carcinoma
Lucia Calthorpe1, Jessica Rubin2, Catherine Lee3
1Department of Surgery, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA.
Insights
For older adults with liver cancer (hepatocellular carcinoma), their overall health (comorbidity burden) is more important than their age for predicting hospital survival. Frailty scores better predict outcomes than chronological age.
Area of Science:
- Hepatobiliary Medicine
- Geriatric Oncology
- Health Services Research
Background:
- Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) disproportionately affects older adults, but the relative impact of chronological age versus comorbidity burden on outcomes remains unclear.
- Distinguishing between age and comorbidity is crucial for optimizing treatment strategies in elderly HCC patients, preventing both under- and over-treatment.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate whether chronological age or comorbidity burden is a stronger predictor of in-hospital mortality in patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC).
- To assess the influence of comorbidity adjustment on the association between age and mortality in HCC patients.
Main Methods:
- Utilized data from the National Inpatient Sample (2016-2018) for adult patients diagnosed with HCC or cirrhosis.
- Assessed comorbidity burden using the Hospital Frailty Risk Score (HFRS) and categorized age into groups: <45, 45-64, 65-74, and ≥75 years.
- Employed nested multivariable logistic regression to analyze the relationship between age, HFRS, and in-hospital mortality, stratified by HCC status.
Main Results:
- Among 426,633 patients (26,653 with HCC), in-hospital mortality was 5.9%.
- In HCC patients, age was initially associated with mortality, but this association became non-significant after adjusting for HFRS.
- Each one-point increase in HFRS significantly increased the odds of in-hospital mortality by 15% (95% CI: 1.14, 1.16, p<0.001).
Conclusions:
- Comorbidity burden, as measured by HFRS, is a more significant predictor of in-hospital mortality in HCC patients than chronological age.
- Clinical decision-making for HCC patients should prioritize assessing physiologic reserve and comorbidity burden over solely relying on chronological age.
- These findings underscore the need to move beyond chronological age as a sole predictor of outcomes in elderly HCC patients.
Abstract:
Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a cancer of older adults, yet the extent to which age versus comorbidity burden drives outcomes is underexplored. Understanding this distinction is critical to avoid both under-treatment and over-treatment in older adults with HCC. Adult patients with a diagnosis of HCC or cirrhosis were identified from the National Inpatient Sample, years 2016-2018. Age was categorized as <45, 45-64, 65-74, and ≥75 years. Comorbidity burden was assessed with the Hospital Frailty Risk Score (HFRS). Nested multivariable logistic regression models were used to examine the effect of comorbidity adjustment on the association between age and in-hospital mortality, stratifying by HCC status. Among 426,633 patients, 26,653 (6.2%) had HCC, and 5.9% died in the hospital. Comorbidity burden varied significantly by age, with HCC patients ≥65 years having a more than 2-fold increased prevalence of comorbidities such as coronary artery disease and heart failure ( p <0.001 for each). Among patients with HCC, age was associated with in-hospital mortality in unadjusted models (Age 45-64 y: OR=1.35; 95% CI: 1.02, 1.78; p =0.04; Age 65-74 y: OR=1.32, 95% CI: 1.00, 1.74; p =0.048). Adjustment for HFRS attenuated the association between age and in-hospital mortality such that it was no longer significant. In contrast, HFRS remained associated with mortality in fully adjusted models; each point increase in HFRS was associated with a 15% increased odds of in-hospital mortality (95% CI: 1.14, 1.16; p <0.001). Among a nationally representative cohort of hospitalized patients with HCC, comorbidity burden-not chronological age-was associated with in-hospital mortality. These findings highlight the importance of considering measures of physiologic reserve when engaging in treatment decision-making in patients with HCC, and moving beyond a focus on chronologic age as a predictor of outcomes.
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