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Partitioning Fraction of Variance Explained into Strong Localized Effects and Weak Diffuse Effects
Biorxiv : the Preprint Server for Biology
|January 16, 2026
Summary
Estimating genetic variance explained by SNPs is challenging with heavy-tailed effects. This study introduces a new method to accurately estimate heritability by accounting for strong and weak genetic effects, improving accuracy in large genomic studies.
Area of Science:
- Genetics
- Statistical Genetics
- Bioinformatics
Background:
- High-dimensional genetic data pose challenges for estimating the fraction of variance explained (FVE) by single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs).
- Standard heritability estimators assume Gaussian SNP effect sizes, but empirical data show heavy-tailed distributions, violating the bounded-kurtosis effect (BKE) condition.
- This violation leads to biased FVE estimates in widely used methods like GWASH and LDSC regression.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop a robust framework for estimating FVE that accommodates heavy-tailed and heterogeneous SNP effect distributions.
- To partition total heritability into contributions from strong and weak genetic effects.
- To introduce a test for BKE condition violations and compare screening procedures for strong-effect SNPs.
Main Methods:
- A decomposed FVE estimation framework partitioning heritability into strong and weak genetic effects.
- Utilizing low-dimensional adjusted R-squared for strong effects and an extended FVE methodology for weak effects under BKE compliance.
- Developing a BKE violation detection test and evaluating high-dimensional screening procedures.
Main Results:
- The proposed decomposition significantly enhances estimation accuracy compared to existing methods when heavy-tailed effects are present.
- Simulation studies confirm improved accuracy in the presence of effect heterogeneity.
- Application to the ABCD Study provided more reliable heritability estimates for the PolyVoxel Score.
Conclusions:
- Accommodating SNP effect heterogeneity is crucial for accurate heritability estimation in large-scale genomic studies.
- The developed method offers a more reliable approach to estimating the fraction of variance explained by SNPs.
- This framework improves the understanding of genetic architecture, particularly for complex traits and biomarkers.
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