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Author Spotlight: Advancing Cardiovascular Imaging - Introducing the Spatially Weighted Calcium Score for Early Disease Detection
Published on: September 22, 2023
Computed tomography-derived score as a predictor of major adverse cardiovascular events in patients with severe
Maria Teresa Savo1, Valeria Pergola1, Morena De Amicis2
1Cardiology Unit, Department of Cardiac, Thoracic and Vascular Sciences and Public Health, University of Padua, 35128 Padua, Italy.
Insights
The New Total Calcium (NTC) score accurately predicts outcomes in severe aortic stenosis patients undergoing transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR). This comprehensive calcification assessment offers valuable risk stratification for improved patient management.
Area of Science:
- Cardiovascular Imaging and Intervention
- Cardiac Computed Tomography (CCT)
- Aortic Stenosis (AS) Management
Background:
- Prognostic significance of global calcium burden (coronary artery, mitral annular, aortic valve, thoracic aorta) in severe AS patients undergoing AVR is not fully understood.
- Cardiac computed tomography (CCT) is used for calcification assessment.
- Severe aortic stenosis (AS) requires intervention, often aortic valve replacement (AVR).
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the prognostic impact of overall calcification burden in patients with severe AS undergoing AVR.
- To develop and validate a comprehensive scoring system for global calcium burden.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of 313 severe AS patients undergoing CCT before AVR (2016-2019).
- Quantification of mitral annular calcification (MAC), coronary artery calcification (CAC), aortic valve calcification (AVC), and development of a total thoracic aortic (TTA) score.
- Integration of MAC, CAC, AVC, and TTA into a New Total Calcium (NTC) score using Random Forest models; 60-month follow-up for MACE, all-cause mortality, and non-cardiovascular mortality.
Main Results:
- The study included 313 patients (mean age 81 years), with 93% undergoing transcatheter AVR (TAVR).
- The TTA score predicted MACE, all-cause mortality, and non-cardiovascular mortality (p<0.05).
- The NTC score demonstrated high prognostic accuracy for MACE at 1, 2, and 3 years (AUC 0.91, 0.80, 0.81), validated in an external cohort.
Conclusions:
- The New Total Calcium (NTC) score is a promising tool for risk stratification in severe AS patients, particularly in the TAVR population.
- Comprehensive calcification assessment using the NTC score can aid in predicting outcomes.
- Further validation in surgical AVR (SAVR) populations is warranted.
Background And Aims:
The prognostic significance of global calcium burden-including coronary artery (CAC), mitral annular (MAC), aortic valve (AVC), and thoracic aortic calcification (TAC)-as assessed by cardiac computed tomography (CCT), remains incompletely understood in patients with severe aortic stenosis (AS) undergoing aortic valve replacement (AVR). This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic impact of overall calcification burden in patients with severe AS undergoing AVR.
Methods:
A retrospective analysis of 313 patients with severe AS undergoing CCT before AVR between 2016 and 2019 was conducted. MAC, CAC, AVC were quantified using established scoring methods. For TAC, a total thoracic aortic (TTA) score was developed by evaluating calcifications in the ascending, descending and aortic arch. MAC, CAC, AVC, and TTA were integrated into a comprehensive scoring system, the New Total Calcium (NTC) score, using Random Forest models. Outcomes considered included MACE, all-cause mortality, and non-cardiovascular mortality over a 60-month follow-up.
Results:
Among 313 patients (mean age 81 years), 93% underwent transcatheter AVR. Severe CAC and MAC were observed in 11% and 7.7% of patients, respectively. During follow-up, 48% of patients died, with non-cardiovascular deaths accounting for 34% and MACE occurring in 43%. In this predominantly TAVR population, the TTA score predicted MACE (p = 0.01), all-cause mortality (p = 0.01), and non-cardiovascular mortality (p = 0.005). The NTC score demonstrated high prognostic accuracy for MACE at 1-, 2-, and 3-years, with AUC values of 0.91, 0.80, and 0.81, respectively. Validation in an external cohort of 100 patients confirmed its robustness.
Conclusions:
In this predominantly transcatheter AVR cohort, the NTC score is a promising tool for risk stratification in patients with severe AS. These findings are primarily applicable to transcatheter AVR patients, and further validation in SAVR populations is warranted.
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