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Updated: Jan 18, 2026

Watershed Planning within a Quantitative Scenario Analysis Framework
Published on: July 24, 2016
Global risk pooling mitigates financial risk from drought in hydropower-dependent countries
Rosa Isabella Cuppari1,2, Tamlin M Pavelsky3, Gregory W Characklis4,5
1Department of Environmental Sciences and Engineering, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC, USA. rosa.cuppari@gmail.com.
Abstract:
More than 50 countries rely on hydropower for over 25% of their electricity generation, making them vulnerable to drought and resulting revenue losses. Governments can offset financial losses for publicly-owned hydropower generators, but this can create fiscal pressures and lead to negative consequences, such as lower bond ratings. Index-based financial instruments, used to manage weather-related risk, offer an alternative, though data collection and index design are challenging. Using remotely sensed hydrometeorological data, we develop index insurance contracts to manage drought-related financial risk for hydropower-dependent countries. Low correlations in drought across these countries allow cost reductions when risks are pooled. Pooling the contracts yields average savings of 54% compared to individual risk management via reserves. These findings indicate that pooled index insurance can strengthen financial resilience in countries dependent on hydropower and support governments in mitigating drought-related economic risks.
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