Survival and Surrogate Biomarkers in Interventional Oncology Trials: Pitfalls, Challenges, and Future Directions

Ana P Gonzalez1, Adam Swersky1, Riad Salem2

  • 1Department of Radiology, Section of Interventional Radiology, Northwestern Feinberg School of Medicine, 676 N. St. Clair, Suite 800, Chicago, IL, USA.

Abstract

Insights

Interventional oncology (IO) uses surrogate endpoints to assess cancer treatments, but their reliability in predicting patient benefit needs improvement. Future research will integrate advanced methods to enhance validation and acceptance of these crucial markers.

Area of Science:

  • Interventional Oncology (IO)
  • Translational Cancer Research
  • Clinical Trial Methodology

Background:

  • Interventional oncology (IO) is integral to multidisciplinary cancer care, offering minimally invasive therapies.
  • The field is evolving, necessitating robust demonstration of value, particularly through surrogate endpoints.
  • Surrogate endpoints, such as imaging and biomarkers, expedite treatment assessment but require rigorous validation.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate the role and challenges of surrogate endpoints in interventional oncology.
  • To explore the complexities of surrogate endpoint validation and their prediction of clinical benefit.
  • To identify future directions for strengthening surrogate endpoint utility in IO research.

Main Methods:

  • Review of existing interventional oncology studies and their use of surrogate endpoints.
  • Analysis of regulatory and methodological challenges impacting surrogate endpoint adoption.
  • Examination of surrogate endpoint application in specific cancers like hepatocellular carcinoma and liver metastases.

Main Results:

  • Surrogate endpoints in IO expedite therapeutic assessment but their validity as predictors of clinical benefit remains under scrutiny.
  • Inconsistent validation, definition, and reporting challenge the adoption of surrogate endpoints.
  • Performance and reliability of surrogate endpoints are heterogeneous across studies, particularly in liver cancers.

Conclusions:

  • Uncertainty persists regarding the ability of surrogate endpoints to reliably predict durable clinical outcomes.
  • Advancing IO requires integrating modern trial methodologies, synthetic control arms, radiomics, and AI for surrogate endpoint validation.
  • The IO community must balance innovation with critical data interpretation to reinforce its role in oncology.

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