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Updated: Jan 20, 2026
Designing Experiment to Determine the Extent of Placebo Effects
Published on: April 30, 2023
Estimating the Placebo Effect on Patient-Reported Outcomes in Sham-controlled Device Trials: Insights from REDUCE
Andrew A Girard1,2, Uma Mylavarapu3, Jan Komtebedde4
1University of Missouri - Kansas City's Healthcare Institute for Innovations in Quality, Kansas City, MO.
The placebo effect in heart failure clinical trials is small, with minimal impact on patient-reported outcomes (PROs) like the Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire Overall Summary (KCCQ-OS). This finding supports the reliability of PROs as trial endpoints.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Clinical Trials
- Patient-Reported Outcomes
Background:
- Patient-reported outcomes (PROs) are increasingly vital endpoints in clinical trials.
- The magnitude of placebo effects versus other trial participation benefits in control arms remains unclear.
- This study quantifies placebo effects on heart failure symptoms using the Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire Overall Summary (KCCQ-OS).
Purpose of the Study:
- To estimate the magnitude of the placebo effect in heart failure clinical trials.
- To assess changes in KCCQ-OS scores after patient unblinding.
- To determine the reliability of PROs as clinical trial outcomes.
Main Methods:
- Utilized data from the REDUCE LAP-HF II trial, randomizing patients to an atrial shunt or sham procedure.
- Collected KCCQ-OS scores at baseline, 2 years (post-unblinding), and 3 years.
- Calculated changes in KCCQ-OS for sham-treated patients to estimate placebo effect and its loss, and for shunt-treated patients to estimate treatment benefit.
Main Results:
- Among 421 participants, sham-treated patients (N=182) showed a +9.3±22.4 point KCCQ-OS improvement at 2 years, with a -1.7±18.2 point decrement after unblinding.
- Shunt-treated patients (N=239) had a +12.7±22.8 point KCCQ-OS improvement at 2 years, with a +1.9±18.2 point increase after unblinding.
- The estimated mean placebo effect on KCCQ-OS was small (≤2 points).
Conclusions:
- The estimated placebo effect and its loss on KCCQ-OS in a sham-controlled device trial were minimal.
- These findings increase confidence in using PROs as reliable clinical trial outcomes.
- The study highlights the modest impact of placebo effects on patient-reported heart failure symptoms.
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