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Strategies for resolving cellular phylogenies from sequential lineage tracing data.

Nicola Mulberry1, Tanja Stadler1

  • 1Department of Biosystems Science and Engineering, ETH Zurich, Basel, Switzerland; Swiss Institute of Bioinformatics, Lausanne, Switzerland.

Theoretical Population Biology
|January 19, 2026
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New CRISPR-based lineage recorders capture cell history through heritable mutations. This study identifies conditions for accurately reconstructing cellular family trees using these dynamic recording systems.

Keywords:
Lineage tracingPhylogenetic information contentPhylogenetic reconstructionTheoretical bounds

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Area of Science:

  • Molecular Biology
  • Genetics
  • Bioinformatics

Background:

  • Advancements in molecular recording devices and sequencing enable lineage tracing in thousands of cells.
  • Dynamic lineage recorders utilize heritable mutations from CRISPR-based systems for continuous genetic recording.
  • Sequential mutation acquisition is now possible, offering richer phylogenetic information than traditional methods.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To model sequentially-edited recording systems.
  • To analyze experimental conditions for accurate phylogenetic reconstruction.
  • To understand the information content of dynamic lineage recorders.

Main Methods:

  • Modeling of a sequentially-edited recording system.
  • Theoretical analysis and simulation of mutation accumulation and phylogenetic reconstruction.
  • Identification of parameter regimes for accurate lineage tracing.

Main Results:

  • Explicit parameter regimes were identified where distance-based methods accurately resolve cellular phylogeny.
  • The study found conditions enabling high-probability exact phylogenetic reconstruction.
  • Theoretical results can guide experimental design for lineage tracing studies.

Conclusions:

  • Simple, efficient reconstruction methods can accurately resolve cellular phylogeny under specific conditions.
  • Understanding recorder information content is crucial for advancing lineage tracing.
  • This work provides a framework for optimizing experimental design in CRISPR-based lineage tracing.