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Long-term mortality in pediatric sepsis: a systematic review and meta-analysis
Yongbiao Lv1, Jiayi Zheng2, Junxiang Cai3
1The Second School of Clinical Medicine, Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Insights
Long-term mortality after pediatric sepsis is 11%, indicating a significant, persistent risk for children post-discharge. This finding underscores the need for improved surveillance and care protocols for pediatric sepsis survivors.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric critical care medicine
- Epidemiology
- Systematic review and meta-analysis
Background:
- Pediatric sepsis significantly contributes to child mortality, with survivors facing ongoing fragility.
- In-hospital and short-term mortality are well-documented, but long-term outcomes require further synthesis.
- Understanding long-term mortality is crucial for enhancing post-discharge care for pediatric sepsis patients.
Purpose of the Study:
- To estimate the long-term mortality rate in pediatric sepsis survivors.
- To provide data supporting optimized post-discharge surveillance and care strategies.
- To synthesize existing evidence on the long-term impact of pediatric sepsis.
Main Methods:
- Systematic review and meta-analysis adhering to PRISMA guidelines.
- Comprehensive literature search across major databases (PubMed, Embase, Cochrane, Web of Science) up to June 30, 2025.
- Pooled analysis of long-term mortality data from six studies involving 11,318 pediatric sepsis patients using random effects meta-analysis.
Main Results:
- Six studies comprising 11,318 pediatric sepsis patients were included from 72,065 identified records.
- The pooled long-term mortality rate for pediatric sepsis was estimated at 11% (95% CI: 7-16%).
- Significant heterogeneity was noted (I² = 98.2%, p < 0.001), with limited publication bias.
Conclusions:
- Pediatric sepsis is associated with an 11% long-term mortality rate, emphasizing the enduring risk after hospital discharge.
- High-quality longitudinal studies are needed to identify modifiable risk factors.
- Evidence-based follow-up and personalized care strategies are essential for improving outcomes in pediatric sepsis survivors.
Background:
Pediatric sepsis represents a significant factor in the mortality rates among children, with survivors remaining highly fragile during the period following discharge. While in-hospital and short-term mortality have been widely studied, the long-term mortality of pediatric sepsis is not adequately synthesized or appreciated. This study aims to estimate the long-term mortality associated with pediatric sepsis, providing a basis for optimizing post-discharge surveillance and care protocols.
Methods:
This systematic review and meta-analysis followed PRISMA guidelines and was registered in PROSPERO (CRD420251137504). Exhaustive searches were conducted in PubMed, Embase, the Cochrane Library, and Web of Science for studies published from the inception of each database to June 30, 2025. Studies reporting long-term mortality in pediatric sepsis patients diagnosed using international consensus criteria were included. After literature screening, long-term mortality was pooled using a random effects meta-analysis in R statistical software.
Results:
A total of 72,065 records were identified through database searching. After removing duplicates and screening, six studies comprising 11,318 pediatric sepsis patients were included. The pooled long-term mortality in pediatric sepsis was 11% (95% CI: 7-16%), though significant heterogeneity was observed (I2 = 98.2%, p < 0.001). Sensitivity analyses yielded similar results, and evidence of publication bias was limited.
Conclusion:
Long-term mortality after pediatric sepsis was 11%, highlighting the persistent risk of mortality after hospital discharge. Further high-quality longitudinal studies are required to identify modifiable risk factors and guide evidence-based follow-up and personalized care.
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