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AEM: An interpretable multi-task multi-modal framework for cardiac disease prediction.

Jiachuan Peng1, Marcel Beetz1, Abhirup Banerjee2

  • 1Department of Engineering Science, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX3 7DQ, UK.

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|January 21, 2026
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Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

This study introduces the Anatomy-Electrocardiogram Model (AEM) for predicting heart failure (HF) using 3D cardiac anatomy and electrocardiogram (ECG) data. The novel framework significantly improves early HF prediction and survival analysis, outperforming existing multi-modal methods.

Keywords:
Heart failureInterpretabilityMulti-modal transformerRisk predictionSelf-supervised pre-training

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Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Medical Imaging
  • Artificial Intelligence

Background:

  • Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is a leading global cause of mortality.
  • Early heart failure (HF) prediction is challenging due to symptom heterogeneity.
  • A multidisciplinary approach is needed for comprehensive cardiac evaluation.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop a novel pre-training framework, the Anatomy-Electrocardiogram Model (AEM), to analyze interactions between 3D cardiac anatomy and electrocardiogram (ECG).
  • To improve the early prediction of heart failure and survival analysis using multi-modal data.

Main Methods:

  • AEM utilizes a multi-task self-supervised learning scheme with masked reconstruction and cardiac measurement regression.
  • The model integrates background-free 3D cardiac anatomy (point clouds) with 12-lead ECG data.
  • Experiments were conducted on multi-modal datasets from the UK Biobank.

Main Results:

  • AEM achieved an Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve of 0.8192 for incident HF prediction.
  • The model obtained a concordance index of 0.6976 for survival prediction.
  • AEM outperformed state-of-the-art multi-modal methods and demonstrated interpretability by recognizing clinically plausible patterns.

Conclusions:

  • The AEM framework effectively integrates 3D cardiac anatomy and ECG data for enhanced cardiac state evaluation.
  • The model shows significant potential for improving early heart failure prediction and survival analysis.
  • AEM's interpretability suggests strong clinical relevance and association with known disease features.