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Published on: February 13, 2021
Stability analysis and numerical simulation of nonlocal extended epidemic models using positivity-preserving scheme
Muhammad Yousuf1, Narjes Alshakhoury2
1Department of Mathematics, King Fahd University of Petroleum & Minerals, Dhahran, 31261, Saudi Arabia. myousuf@kfupm.edu.sa.
This study introduces a new numerical framework for simulating fractional epidemic models, revealing how fractional diffusion impacts disease spread. The findings offer a robust computational tool for public health policy and epidemic control strategies.
Area of Science:
- Mathematical Biology
- Computational Epidemiology
- Numerical Analysis
Background:
- Epidemic modeling is crucial for understanding disease spread.
- Traditional models often simplify spatial-temporal dynamics.
- Fractional calculus offers a powerful tool to capture complex disease transmission patterns.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop a robust numerical framework for nonlocal extended epidemic models with fractional diffusion.
- To investigate the impact of fractional diffusion on disease transmission dynamics.
- To provide a computational tool for public health policy and epidemic control.
Main Methods:
- Fourier spectral approach for spatial discretization.
- Positivity-preserving exponential time differencing for temporal integration.
- Analysis of SIR and SEIR fractional epidemic models.
Main Results:
- The numerical scheme is L-stable and positivity-preserving.
- Fractional diffusion significantly influences the spatial distribution and temporal evolution of diseases.
- The developed method achieves second-order accuracy.
Conclusions:
- Fractional diffusion plays a critical role in epidemic modeling.
- The proposed numerical framework is effective for simulating complex disease dynamics.
- This research provides a foundation for future studies in public health and epidemic control.
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