Prognostic factors for 90-day survival after stereotactic radiosurgery for brain metastasis patients

Brain metastases significantly impact neurocognitive function and overall survival. Stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) is a cornerstone of treatment for patients with limited metastases and expected survival beyond 3 months. Despite current guidelines, up to 20% of patients with brain metastases undergoing SRS have been reported to die within 90 days. This study retrospectively evaluated prognostic factors associated with 90-day survival after SRS, aiming to improve patient selection.

The authors retrospectively analyzed a cohort of 1546 patients who underwent Gamma Knife SRS for brain metastases at their institution between 2015 and 2023. One hundred seventy patients who survived less than 90 days after SRS were identified and case matched to 170 patients who survived over 90 days. Measured variables included patient demographic characteristics, tumor characteristics, treatment history, functional status, and control of the primary cancer. The authors modeled post-SRS 90-day survival using binomial and multivariate logistic regression.

Multivariate analysis highlighted Karnofsky Performance Score (KPS) < 70 (OR 17.4, p < 0.001), prior whole-brain radiation (OR 6, p = 0.004), and focal neurological deficits (OR 3.02, p = 0.003) as significant predictors of poor survival, whereas CNS progression before SRS (OR 0.22, p < 0.001) and control of systemic cancer (OR 0.556, p = 0.002) were associated with survival < 90 days. The predictive model demonstrated acceptable performance with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.85, accuracy of 80%, sensitivity of 87%, and specificity of 71%.

Key predictors of 90-day survival after SRS for brain metastases include functional status (KPS), control of systemic cancer, CNS progression status, and focal neurological deficits. These findings are complementary factors that can assist in making decisions and SRS patient selection.