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P.I. nomogram: an exploratory imaging-derived model for predicting early urinary incontinence following ThuLEP
Xiao-Da Lan1,2, Rui Jiang1, He Wang3
1Department of Urology, Institute of Urology, National Research Center for Genitourinary Oncology, Peking University First Hospital, Peking University, Beijing, 100034, China.
Urinary incontinence after prostate surgery can be predicted using prostatic apex shape and intravesical prostatic protrusion. This new nomogram helps estimate short-term risk for patients undergoing thulium laser enucleation of the prostate (ThuLEP).
Area of Science:
- Urology
- Medical Imaging
- Surgical Outcomes
Background:
- Early postoperative urinary incontinence (UI) significantly impacts quality of life after thulium laser enucleation of the prostate (ThuLEP).
- Predictive models for UI following ThuLEP are currently lacking.
- Prostatic apex shape (PAS), explored in prostate cancer, is underexplored for predicting outcomes in benign prostatic hyperplasia (BPH).
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop a nomogram using prostatic apex shape (PAS) and clinical parameters to estimate short-term UI risk after ThuLEP.
- To provide a noninvasive tool for preoperative risk stratification and patient counseling.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of 106 patients who underwent ThuLEP for BPH.
- Classification of PAS into four subtypes (A-D) using MRI.
- Logistic regression to identify predictors of UI, including intravesical prostatic protrusion (IPP).
- Development and evaluation of a nomogram using AUC, calibration, and decision curve analysis.
Main Results:
- Early UI at 1 month occurred in 37.7% of patients.
- PAS types A-C (OR 11.721) and IPP > 2.4 cm (OR 11.543) were independent predictors of UI.
- The developed nomogram (PAS, IPP) achieved an AUC of 0.758 with good calibration.
Conclusions:
- Prostatic apex shape types A-C and IPP > 2.4 cm are independently associated with 1-month UI after ThuLEP.
- The P.I. nomogram demonstrates acceptable discrimination and calibration for short-term UI risk.
- This tool may aid preoperative risk stratification and counseling for patients undergoing ThuLEP.
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