Related Experiment Video
Updated: Jan 27, 2026

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Using the Threat Probability Task to Assess Anxiety and Fear During Uncertain and Certain Threat
Published on: September 12, 2014
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Computational Modelling Reveals Slower Safety Learning and Threat Extinction are Associated With Higher Anxiety
Tim Kerr1, Kirstin Purves1, Thomas McGregor1
1SGDP Centre, King's College London, UK.
Computational Psychiatry (Cambridge, Mass.)
|January 26, 2026
Summary
Anxiety disorders are linked to slower safety learning and threat extinction. Computational models reveal that individuals with anxiety take longer to learn that a stimulus is safe, highlighting a key cognitive mechanism.
Area of Science:
- Cognitive Neuroscience
- Clinical Psychology
- Computational Psychiatry
Background:
- Anxiety disorders involve exaggerated responses to threats and impaired threat discrimination and extinction.
- Fear conditioning models, including acquisition and extinction phases, are used to study these impairments.
- Traditional analysis methods have limitations in capturing trial-by-trial cognitive mechanisms.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate cognitive mechanisms underlying anxiety disorders using computational modeling of fear conditioning.
- To examine the relationship between learning rates (threat learning, safety learning, threat extinction) and anxiety severity.
- To identify individual differences in cognitive processes contributing to anxiety persistence.
Main Methods:
- A normative sample (n=145) completed a differential fear conditioning task via a smartphone app.
- Anxiety severity was assessed using the GAD-7 measure.
- Computational models were applied to task data to estimate trial-by-trial learning rates.
Main Results:
- Threat learning rate did not correlate with anxiety severity.
- Threat extinction and safety learning rates showed small negative associations with anxiety severity (ρ = -0.22, p = 0.01 & ρ = -0.21, p = 0.01).
- These findings suggest anxious individuals learn safety cues more slowly.
Conclusions:
- Impaired fear extinction is a significant factor in anxiety disorders.
- Learning rates, particularly for safety and extinction, serve as important indices of anxiety severity.
- Computational modeling offers a powerful tool to uncover hidden cognitive mechanisms in anxiety.
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