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Invasive ventilation and mortality in critically ill nonagenarians: a retrospective cohort study
Markus Haar1, Fabian Gleibs1, Anna Carola Hertrich1
1Department of Intensive Care Medicine, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Martinistr. 52, 20251, Hamburg, Germany.
Invasive ventilation (IV) in patients aged 90 years and older is associated with higher illness severity and mortality. Prolonged IV use (over 72 hours) indicates a subgroup with very high mortality, supporting early goals-of-care discussions.
Area of Science:
- Critical Care Medicine
- Geriatric Medicine
- Intensive Care Research
Background:
- Increasing ICU admissions among the very elderly (≥90 years).
- Uncertainty regarding the benefits and ethical considerations of invasive ventilation (IV) in this population.
- High baseline mortality rates in nonagenarians admitted to the ICU.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the outcomes of invasive ventilation (IV) in intensive care unit (ICU) patients aged 90 years and older.
- To identify predictors of mortality in this specific elderly cohort.
- To inform clinical decision-making and goals-of-care discussions for nonagenarian ICU patients.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective cohort study of ICU patients aged ≥90 years (2008-2023).
- Analysis of demographic, clinical, and outcome data from electronic health records.
- Multivariable logistic regression and survival analyses (Kaplan-Meier, Cox regression) to identify mortality predictors.
Main Results:
- 1422 patients (1.25% of total admissions) aged ≥90 years were included.
- Invasive ventilation (IV) was used in 31% of patients, associated with higher illness severity (SOFA score), longer ICU stays, and increased need for vasopressors and renal replacement therapy.
- IV was linked to significantly higher ICU (35.7% vs 11.5%) and hospital mortality (49.3% vs 21.5%). Prolonged IV (>72h), high lactate, elevated SOFA, and CCI ≥3 were predictors of hospital mortality.
Conclusions:
- Invasive ventilation, especially beyond 72 hours, identifies nonagenarian ICU patients with very high mortality and illness severity.
- Observational data suggest IV in this age group should prompt early, patient-centered goals-of-care discussions.
- IV in nonagenarians may serve as a marker for high-risk subgroups rather than a direct cause of excess mortality.
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