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Emerging Artificial Intelligence Models for Estimating Breslow Thickness from Dermoscopic Images
Umberto Santaniello1, Francois Rosset2, Paolo Fava1
1Section of Dermatology, Department of Medical Sciences, University of Turin, 10126 Turin, Italy.
Abstract:
Breslow thickness (BT) is the most powerful prognostic indicator in cutaneous melanoma, yet histopathological measurement exhibits some limitations such as interobserver variability and diagnostic delays. Preoperative clinical assessment demonstrates 30% misclassification rates. This narrative review synthesizes evidence on deep learning models for non-invasive BT estimation from dermoscopic images. Convolutional neural networks (ResNet, EfficientNet, Vision Transformers) with transfer learning from ImageNet achieve up to 75-79% accuracy and AUC 0.76-0.85 on single-center datasets. Preprocessing techniques (hair removal, color normalization, data augmentation) and interpretability methods (Grad-CAM, LIME) enhance clinical applicability. However, external validation reveals performance degradation. The clinically critical thickness range (0.4-1.0 mm) demonstrates poor discrimination. Significant dataset bias exists: most training data represents lighter skin phototypes, resulting in an underrepresentation of darker skin types. AI models function as complementary decision-support tools rather than replacements for histopathology. Prospective clinical trials validating clinical utility are lacking, and regulatory approval pathways are undefined. Research priorities include diverse public datasets with balanced skin tone representation, the adoption of threshold-weighted loss functions to prioritize accuracy at the 0.8 mm surgical cut-off, multi-institutional external validation, prospective randomized trials, federated learning frameworks, and regulatory engagement. Only rigorous, equitable research can translate AI from proof-of-concept to clinically reliable tools benefiting all melanoma patients.
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