Few-Shot Transfer Learning for Diabetes Risk Prediction Across Global Populations

  • 0Morsani College of Medicine, University of South Florida, Tampa, FL 33602, USA.

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Summary

This summary is machine-generated.

Few-shot domain adaptation improves type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) risk prediction across diverse populations. This method enhances screening in resource-limited settings using minimal local data.

Area Of Science

  • Computational biology
  • Machine learning
  • Public health

Background

  • Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) affects over 537 million adults globally, with a significant impact on low- and middle-income countries.
  • Predictive models for T2DM often fail to generalize across different populations due to variations in data and measurement practices.
  • Limited diagnostic resources in many regions hinder effective T2DM screening and management.

Purpose Of The Study

  • To evaluate a few-shot domain adaptation framework for improving T2DM risk prediction across diverse populations.
  • To assess the effectiveness of fine-tuning models with small percentages of local data for cross-population generalization.
  • To investigate population-specific feature importance and decision thresholds in T2DM prediction.

Main Methods

  • A few-shot domain adaptation framework using a multilayer perceptron with four clinical features (age, BMI, MAP, plasma glucose) was employed.
  • The framework was tested across three adult cohorts: Bangladesh, Iraq, and the Pima Indian dataset.
  • Models were pre-trained on a source cohort and fine-tuned on 1-20% of labeled target data, with performance compared to threshold tuning.

Main Results

  • Few-shot fine-tuning restored predictive capability in cases where source-only models failed, significantly improving F1 scores.
  • Adaptation enhanced AUROC by up to 0.14 and accuracy by 17 percentage points in moderate-performance transfers.
  • SHAP analyses revealed population-specific shifts in feature importance (e.g., BMI in Pima) and decision thresholds for glucose.

Conclusions

  • Few-shot domain adaptation, using as little as 5-20% of local labels, effectively enhances cross-population T2DM risk prediction.
  • The approach utilizes routinely available clinical features and offers a scalable, interpretable solution for preventive screening.
  • This method can democratize T2DM screening in diverse and resource-constrained settings.

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