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Survival Prediction and Treatment Decisions in Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Deep Learning-Based Radiomics Approach.

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Deep learning radiomics combined with clinical data can predict outcomes for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients undergoing hepatectomy or transarterial chemoembolization (TACE). These models effectively assess survival risk, aiding treatment selection.

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Area of Science:

  • Radiology
  • Oncology
  • Machine Learning

Background:

  • Deep learning radiomics (DLRadiomics) extracts detailed tumor characteristics.
  • These features offer insights into tumor biology, disease status, and patient prognosis.
  • Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treatment effectiveness requires robust predictive models.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To integrate DLRadiomics features with clinical data for a machine learning survival model.
  • To assess the comparative effectiveness of hepatectomy versus transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) in HCC patients.
  • To develop prognostic models for predicting survival risk and aiding treatment decisions.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized deep learning algorithms (ResNet50, ResNet18, DenseNet121) on contrast-enhanced CT images.
  • Extracted DLRadiomics features and combined them with clinical data.
  • Developed and validated machine learning survival models using ROC curves and C-indices.
  • Constructed nomograms for predicting prognosis and evaluating survival risk via Kaplan-Meier analysis.

Main Results:

  • Included 409 HCC patients (278 hepatectomy, 131 TACE).
  • Combined models demonstrated superior discriminative performance, with high C-indices for both hepatectomy (0.836 training, 0.861 testing) and TACE (0.840 training, 0.834 testing).
  • Developed nomograms to assist clinicians in treatment selection based on predicted outcomes.

Conclusions:

  • Machine learning models integrating DLRadiomics can predict differential outcomes between hepatectomy and TACE.
  • Prognostic models effectively predict survival risk in HCC patients.
  • These models support personalized treatment strategies for HCC.