Dynamics and bifurcation of a hybrid competition model with applications to adaptive cancer therapy

Huansheng Sun1, Biao Tang1, Jonathan E Forde2

  • 1School of Mathematics and Statistics, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, 710049, PR China.

Mathematical Biosciences
|January 29, 2026
PubMed

Insights

Adaptive therapy uses cell competition to fight cancer drug resistance. Mathematical modeling reveals that a threshold-based approach, not just maximum killing rate, optimizes treatment outcomes and extends survival time.

Area of Science:

  • Mathematical Oncology
  • Cancer Therapeutics
  • Computational Biology

Background:

  • Adaptive therapy is a cancer treatment strategy that exploits competition between drug-sensitive and resistant cells to overcome drug resistance.
  • The mathematical underpinnings of adaptive therapy are not fully understood, creating challenges in optimizing intervention timing and intensity.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop and analyze a mathematical model for adaptive therapy incorporating periodic tumor monitoring and threshold-based interventions.
  • To investigate the existence and stability of periodic solutions within the proposed model.
  • To explore the impact of key parameters, such as threshold value and monitoring period, on treatment outcomes.

Main Methods:

  • Development of a competition model for tumor growth with drug-sensitive and resistant cell populations.
  • Application of bifurcation theory to analyze the existence and stability of periodic solutions.
  • Numerical simulations to study parameter dependencies and treatment failure dynamics.

Main Results:

  • Demonstration of novel (ℓ, m)T boundary periodic solutions and analysis of their stability.
  • Proof of the existence and stability of positive periodic solutions using bifurcation theory.
  • Numerical findings indicate that time to treatment failure depends non-linearly on the killing rate of sensitive cells, with a plateau effect.

Conclusions:

  • Maximizing the killing rate of sensitive cells does not guarantee optimal therapeutic outcomes in adaptive therapy.
  • Implementing a threshold value for interventions can extend patient survival time.
  • Threshold-based adaptive therapy shows therapeutic benefit for tumor control by managing cell population dynamics.

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